CFP semifinal features Georgia and Oklahoma in Rose Bowl

04 December, 2017, 01:58 | Author: Diane Mills
  • Tony Gutierrez  AP	

	 for Georgia? Mr. Baker Mayfield

Oklahoma, which won the Big 12 championship game handily over TCU and opened as a three-point favorite over Georgia, is underwhelming defensively, giving up 384.8 yards per game.

Back in 2013, after the announcement of the CFP's formation, I went back through the BCS era and took a look at who would have made a hypothetical Playoff, breaking the field into "relatively obvious Playoff teams" and "contenders". Here's our breakdown and best guess.

Clemson ended up at #1 and the final CFP spot went to Alabama at #4.

When assigning teams to sites, the committee places the top two ranked teams at the most advantageous sites, weighing criteria such as convenience of travel for its fans, home-crowd advantage or disadvantage and general familiarity with the host city and its stadium. The Dawgs are in a good spot and should be the No. 1 team heading into the playoff. The Bulldogs were just one spot behind the Crimson Tide in this week's rankings and should jump Alabama easily, given the fact that they claimed the SEC championship this weekend and now have a better record than Alabama.

While the top three spots are clear, the No. 4 spot is where the committee's work begins on Saturday night and Sunday morning. Ohio State won the Big Ten while Alabama did not even win its Southeastern Conference division.

Clemson finished the regular season No. 1, followed by Oklahoma and Georgia. The Rose Bowl winner will take on the Sugar Bowl victor, either Alabama or defending national champion Clemson, in the title game on January 9 in Atlanta. However, both have College Football Playoff experience (Riley as the offensive coordinator at OU and Smart as the defensive coordinator at Alabama).

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Oklahoma's most likely ranking on Sunday is No. 2, given that the Sooners were the second highest ranked team to pick up a win over the weekend.

17 - Oklahoma's 17 points in the first quarter on Saturday is a Big 12 record for the most points in the opening quarter in Big 12 Championship game history. Even if the committee surprises some people and puts the Sooners at No. 3 instead of No. 2, the Sooners would still be playing in the Rose Bowl. If it's Alabama, the Crimson Tide will be the only team in the top 4 without a conference title.

Because of this, whichever school "wins" the Alabama/Ohio State debate will nearly undoubtedly be the No. 4 seed. Mayfield is the key in beating Georgia in this Rose Bowl Game.

There were only six Big 12 teams that went to bowls past year, but this will be the third time in the seven seasons since going to a 10-team league that at least eight will play in postseason games.

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